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← Explore · Market 3808994

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 30?

98.0% implied · bid 96.9¢ · ask 99.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.3%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.3¢ spread.

Implied probability99.3%
Bid / ask / mid96.9¢ / 99.2¢ / 98.0¢
Spread2.3¢ (2.3%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 47% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,106
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,733 / $33,865
Imbalance47% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score60.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 36 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.55
RSI (14, hourly)36.4
Realized vol 7d7.58pt
Change 1h-0.10pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 14h.

Time to resolve5d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth