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← Explore · Market 3809005

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 30?

91.5% implied · bid 90.0¢ · ask 93.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 88.0%, up 12.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability88.0%
Bid / ask / mid90.0¢ / 93.0¢ / 91.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.3%)
Change 24h+12.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 51% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$827
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,513 / $12,085
Imbalance51% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 68 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.71
RSI (14, hourly)68.4
Realized vol 7d6.41pt
Change 1h+1.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 14h.

Time to resolve5d 14h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth