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← Explore · Market 3809906

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?

62.5% implied · bid 62.0¢ · ask 63.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 64.0%, up 12.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability64.0%
Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 63.0¢ / 62.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h+12.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$71,669
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,445 / $4,163
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)8
Liquidity score50.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.96
RSI (14, hourly)60.2
Realized vol 7d4.18pt
Change 1h+16.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 14h.

Time to resolve0d 14h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth