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← Explore · Market 3809907

Ethereum Up or Down on August 25?

52.5% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 53.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 54.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability54.0%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 53.0¢ / 52.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.9%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$16,800
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,067 / $5,654
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score50.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.35
RSI (14, hourly)52.7
Realized vol 7d2.58pt
Change 1h+6.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 14h.

Time to resolve0d 14h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth