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← Explore · Market 3810130

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?

70.0% implied · bid 69.0¢ · ask 71.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 77.0%, up 20.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability77.0%
Bid / ask / mid69.0¢ / 71.0¢ / 70.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.9%)
Change 24h+20.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 60% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$446
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,245 / $4,569
Imbalance60% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 38 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.58
RSI (14, hourly)38.1
Realized vol 7d5.53pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 3h.

Time to resolve7d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth