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← Explore · Market 3826519

Set 1 Winner: Gaston vs Justo

79.5% implied · bid 78.0¢ · ask 81.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 79.5%, flat over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability79.5%
Bid / ask / mid78.0¢ / 81.0¢ / 79.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.8%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$503 / $13,820
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 95 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.19
RSI (14, hourly)95.1
Realized vol 7d6.75pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 14h.

Time to resolve7d 14h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth