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← Explore · Market 3826520

Set 2 Winner: Gaston vs Justo

78.0% implied · bid 72.0¢ · ask 84.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 78.0%, flat over 24h, on a 12.0¢ spread.

Implied probability78.0%
Bid / ask / mid72.0¢ / 84.0¢ / 78.0¢
Spread12.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 92% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance92% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 78 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.06
RSI (14, hourly)78.2
Realized vol 7d6.71pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 14h.

Time to resolve7d 14h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth