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← Explore · Market 3826628

Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs Grenier

63.0% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 63.0%, up 61.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability63.0%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 63.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+61.45pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$721
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 91 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.27
RSI (14, hourly)91.3
Realized vol 7d8.99pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 19h.

Time to resolve6d 19h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Order book unavailable.