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← Explore · Market 3829876

Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 24-30?

19.5% implied · bid 19.0¢ · ask 20.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 14.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid19.0¢ / 20.0¢ / 19.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.1%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,302
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$939 / $1,213
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score46.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 56 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.30
RSI (14, hourly)55.6
Realized vol 7d9.51pt
Change 1h+4.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 2h.

Time to resolve6d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth