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← Explore · Market 3829877

Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 24?

2.0% implied · bid 1.5¢ · ask 2.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.7%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability2.7%
Bid / ask / mid1.5¢ / 2.5¢ / 2.0¢
Spread1.0¢ (50.0%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$36,859
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$41 / $56
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score45.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 47 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.85
RSI (14, hourly)47.2
Realized vol 7d8.80pt
Change 1h+0.25pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 3h.

Time to resolve0d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth