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← Explore · Market 3829900

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30?

21.0% implied · bid 20.0¢ · ask 22.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 19.0%, flat over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability19.0%
Bid / ask / mid20.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 21.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$14,527
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,285 / $1,330
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score41.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.34
RSI (14, hourly)32.9
Realized vol 7d3.34pt
Change 1h-4.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 2h.

Time to resolve6d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth