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← Explore · Market 3829902

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on August 24?

0.4% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.6¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.6%, flat over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability0.6%
Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.4¢ (100.0%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$17,784
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $23
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score48.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 12 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.83
RSI (14, hourly)12.1
Realized vol 7d5.86pt
Change 1h-0.35pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 3h.

Time to resolve0d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth