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← Explore · Market 3829907

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on August 24?

0.6% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.7¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.6%, flat over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.6%
Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.6¢
Spread0.2¢ (33.3%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$22,348
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23 / $3
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score49.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 5 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.65
RSI (14, hourly)4.6
Realized vol 7d6.55pt
Change 1h-0.20pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 3h.

Time to resolve0d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth