a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 3847189

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?

77.1% implied · bid 75.8¢ · ask 78.5¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 89.0%, flat over 24h, on a 2.7¢ spread.

Implied probability89.0%
Bid / ask / mid75.8¢ / 78.5¢ / 77.1¢
Spread2.7¢ (3.5%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 39/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 48% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$90
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,647 / $3,139
Imbalance48% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score39.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.85
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d21.74pt
Change 1h-1.75pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 3h.

Time to resolve7d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth