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← Explore · Market 3847190

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?

78.5% implied · bid 77.0¢ · ask 80.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 75.0%, flat over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability75.0%
Bid / ask / mid77.0¢ / 80.0¢ / 78.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.8%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 53% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$49
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$114 / $143
Imbalance53% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.05
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d14.77pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 3h.

Time to resolve7d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth