← Explore · Market 558934
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17.3% implied · bid 17.2¢ · ask 17.3¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.3%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability17.3%
Bid / ask / mid17.2¢ / 17.3¢ / 17.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.6%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+4.75pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,558,911
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,367,625 / $370,247
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)20
Liquidity score99.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 30 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.65
RSI (14, hourly)30.4
Realized vol 7d0.48pt
Change 1h-0.20pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 9d 22h.
Time to resolve9d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%