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← Explore · Market 558935

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

16.0% implied · bid 15.9¢ · ask 16.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 15.9%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability15.9%
Bid / ask / mid15.9¢ / 16.0¢ / 16.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.6%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d+8.30pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 19% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,691,527
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,541,700 / $66,240
Imbalance19% bid
Large trades (>$1k)10
Liquidity score99.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.01
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.36pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 9d 22h.

Time to resolve9d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth