← Explore · Market 558936

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

38.9% implied · bid 38.8¢ · ask 38.9¢

The market prices this at 38.9%, up 6.3pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability38.9%

Bid / ask / mid38.8¢ / 38.9¢ / 38.9¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.3%)

Change 24h+6.30pt

Change 7d+4.60pt

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,881,563

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,360,548 / $538,028

Imbalance17% bid

Large trades (>$1k)15

Liquidity score99.5 / 100

RSI 84 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.38

RSI (14, hourly)83.8

Realized vol 7d0.74pt

Change 1h+0.10pt

Resolves in 9d 22h.

Time to resolve9d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%