← Explore · Market 558938
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17.8% implied · bid 17.8¢ · ask 17.9¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.9%, down 2.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability17.9%
Bid / ask / mid17.8¢ / 17.9¢ / 17.8¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.6%)
Change 24h-2.20pt
Change 7d-0.90pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 19% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,526,477
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,755,067 / $173,744
Imbalance19% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score99.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.10
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.15pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 9d 22h.
Time to resolve9d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%