← Explore · Market 558946
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2.1% implied · bid 2.1¢ · ask 2.2¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.2%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability2.2%
Bid / ask / mid2.1¢ / 2.2¢ / 2.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (4.7%)
Change 24h-0.30pt
Change 7d+0.90pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,190,774
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$56,748 / $159,606
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)40
Liquidity score99.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.79
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 9d 21h.
Time to resolve9d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%