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← Explore · Market 558951

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

5.9% implied · bid 5.8¢ · ask 5.9¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 5.9%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability5.9%
Bid / ask / mid5.8¢ / 5.9¢ / 5.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h-0.10pt
Change 7d+4.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,576,198
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$236,456 / $409,539
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score99.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 47 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.93
RSI (14, hourly)46.7
Realized vol 7d0.34pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 9d 21h.

Time to resolve9d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth