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← Explore · Market 558974

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1.9% implied · bid 1.9¢ · ask 2.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.9%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.9%
Bid / ask / mid1.9¢ / 2.0¢ / 1.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (5.1%)
Change 24h-0.20pt
Change 7d+1.30pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,468,118
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$44,016 / $114,918
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)6
Liquidity score99.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.06
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 9d 21h.

Time to resolve9d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth