← Explore · Market 558974
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1.9% implied · bid 1.9¢ · ask 2.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.9%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability1.9%
Bid / ask / mid1.9¢ / 2.0¢ / 1.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (5.1%)
Change 24h-0.20pt
Change 7d+1.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,468,118
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$44,016 / $114,918
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)6
Liquidity score99.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.06
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 9d 21h.
Time to resolve9d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%