← Explore · Market 559651

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

5.1% implied · bid 5.1¢ · ask 5.2¢

The market prices this at 5.3%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability5.3%

Bid / ask / mid5.1¢ / 5.2¢ / 5.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (1.9%)

Change 24h+0.30pt

Change 7d+0.65pt

Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$53,407

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$22,161 / $2,227

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)7

Liquidity score61.7 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.03

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.16pt

Change 1h+0.30pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%