← Explore · Market 559651
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5.7% implied · bid 5.6¢ · ask 5.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.7%, up 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability5.7%
Bid / ask / mid5.6¢ / 5.7¢ / 5.7¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h+0.40pt
Change 7d+0.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 63/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$35,329
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$20,681 / $5,351
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score62.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.12
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.17pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%