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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

14.1% implied · bid 14.1¢ · ask 14.2¢

The market prices this at 14.2%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability14.2%

Bid / ask / mid14.1¢ / 14.2¢ / 14.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.7%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7d+2.85pt

Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$32,189

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,630 / $8,360

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score61.5 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.51

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.21pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 850d 22h.

Time to resolve850d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%