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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

20.5% implied · bid 20.5¢ · ask 20.6¢

The market prices this at 20.5%, down 2.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability20.5%

Bid / ask / mid20.5¢ / 20.6¢ / 20.5¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.5%)

Change 24h-2.10pt

Change 7d+0.50pt

Deep and tight (score 75/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$13,241

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17,663 / $34,130

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score75.4 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.34

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.53pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 804d 23h.

Time to resolve804d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%