← Explore · Market 559658
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7.3% implied · bid 7.3¢ · ask 7.4¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.4%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability7.4%
Bid / ask / mid7.3¢ / 7.4¢ / 7.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.60pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,462
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,157 / $10,908
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score60.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.90
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.16pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 850d 22h.
Time to resolve850d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%