← Explore · Market 559658
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7.4% implied · bid 7.4¢ · ask 7.5¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.5%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability7.5%
Bid / ask / mid7.4¢ / 7.5¢ / 7.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 64/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,107
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,786 / $14,202
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score64.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.15
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 804d 23h.
Time to resolve804d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%