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Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

12.4% implied · bid 12.4¢ · ask 12.5¢

The market prices this at 12.5%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability12.5%

Bid / ask / mid12.4¢ / 12.5¢ / 12.4¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.8%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d+2.55pt

Moderately liquid (score 64/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$962

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$20,666 / $9,303

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score64.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.93

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.27pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 850d 22h.

Time to resolve850d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%