← Explore · Market 559661

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

14.8% implied · bid 14.7¢ · ask 14.8¢

The market prices this at 14.7%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability14.7%

Bid / ask / mid14.7¢ / 14.8¢ / 14.8¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.7%)

Change 24h+0.10pt

Change 7d-0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 75/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,562

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$33,783 / $17,107

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score74.9 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.09

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.09pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 804d 23h.

Time to resolve804d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%