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Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.7% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 0.7¢

The market prices this at 0.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.6%

Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.7¢

Spread0.1¢ (15.4%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 65/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$127,078

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,846 / $17,791

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score65.3 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 20526882738941.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-20526882738941.89

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.00pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 850d 20h.

Time to resolve850d 20h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%