← Explore · Market 560317
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
8.5% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 9.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$113,967
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$292,577 / $120,259
Imbalance27% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.83
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 174d 16h.
Time to resolve174d 16h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%