← Explore · Market 561229

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

23.3% implied · bid 23.2¢ · ask 23.3¢

The market prices this at 23.3%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability23.3%

Bid / ask / mid23.2¢ / 23.3¢ / 23.3¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.4%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d+0.20pt

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$11,853

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$84,043 / $20,323

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score99.5 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.34

RSI (14, hourly)33.3

Realized vol 7d0.19pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 804d 23h.

Time to resolve804d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%