← Explore · Market 561231
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14.1% implied · bid 14.1¢ · ask 14.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 14.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability14.2%
Bid / ask / mid14.1¢ / 14.2¢ / 14.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 59/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,975
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,712 / $9,610
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score59.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.49
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.21pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 804d 23h.
Time to resolve804d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%