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Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2.4% implied · bid 2.3¢ · ask 2.4¢

The market prices this at 2.3%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability2.3%

Bid / ask / mid2.3¢ / 2.4¢ / 2.4¢

Spread0.1¢ (4.3%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$261,806

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,647 / $10,961

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score59.8 / 100

RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.07

RSI (14, hourly)75.0

Realized vol 7d0.03pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 850d 20h.

Time to resolve850d 20h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%