← Explore · Market 561234

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

10.8% implied · bid 10.7¢ · ask 10.8¢

The market prices this at 10.8%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability10.8%

Bid / ask / mid10.7¢ / 10.8¢ / 10.8¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.9%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d-2.20pt

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,355

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$96,189 / $13,581

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score99.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.23

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.08pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 804d 23h.

Time to resolve804d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%