← Explore · Market 561234
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
13.7% implied · bid 13.6¢ · ask 13.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.7%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability13.7%
Bid / ask / mid13.6¢ / 13.7¢ / 13.7¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.7%)
Change 24h-0.20pt
Change 7d-1.90pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 74/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$9,377
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$24,194 / $25,593
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score74.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 46 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.17
RSI (14, hourly)45.8
Realized vol 7d0.12pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 850d 22h.
Time to resolve850d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%