← Explore · Market 561235
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1.1% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 1.1¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.0%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability1.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 1.1¢ / 1.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d+0.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$59,363
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,934 / $1,501
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score58.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.08
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 804d 19h.
Time to resolve804d 19h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%