← Explore · Market 561247

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.5% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.6¢

The market prices this at 0.5%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.5%

Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.5¢

Spread0.1¢ (18.2%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d-0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$220,137

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,520 / $12,369

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score59.9 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 7.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-7.89

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.01pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 850d 20h.

Time to resolve850d 20h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%