← Explore · Market 561248
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.7% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 0.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.7%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability0.7%
Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.7¢
Spread0.1¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$217,500
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,339 / $10,483
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score60.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 20526882738943.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean20526882738943.92
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 850d 20h.
Time to resolve850d 20h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%