← Explore · Market 561261

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

9.8% implied · bid 9.7¢ · ask 9.8¢

The market prices this at 9.7%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability9.7%

Bid / ask / mid9.7¢ / 9.8¢ / 9.8¢

Spread0.1¢ (1.0%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 68/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,250

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,102 / $22,025

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score67.6 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.21

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 804d 23h.

Time to resolve804d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%