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Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

47.3% implied · bid 47.3¢ · ask 47.4¢

The market prices this at 47.3%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability47.3%

Bid / ask / mid47.3¢ / 47.4¢ / 47.3¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.2%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.10pt

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,260

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$41,883 / $72,274

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score99.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.38

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 804d 23h.

Time to resolve804d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%