← Explore · Market 561975
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
26.5% implied · bid 26.4¢ · ask 26.5¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.5%, up 0.7pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability26.5%
Bid / ask / mid26.4¢ / 26.5¢ / 26.5¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.4%)
Change 24h+0.70pt
Change 7d+1.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 64/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$21,355
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17,497 / $11,985
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score64.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 92 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.82
RSI (14, hourly)91.7
Realized vol 7d0.19pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 850d 21h.
Time to resolve850d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%