← Explore · Market 561993

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢

The market prices this at 0.3%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%

Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$463,105

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,983 / $8,097

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score57.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1724227603844174.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean1724227603844174.75

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.00pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 804d 22h.

Time to resolve804d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%