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Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

2.8% implied · bid 2.7¢ · ask 2.8¢

The market prices this at 2.8%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability2.8%

Bid / ask / mid2.7¢ / 2.8¢ / 2.8¢

Spread0.1¢ (3.6%)

Change 24h+0.10pt

Change 7d+0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 64/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,398

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$24,393 / $3,771

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score63.6 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.71

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 804d 23h.

Time to resolve804d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%