← Explore · Market 562793
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
46.5% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 47.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 46.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 47.0¢ / 46.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,830
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,824 / $12,141
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score55.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.10
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 115d 21h.
Time to resolve115d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%