← Explore · Market 562794

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

54.5% implied · bid 54.0¢ · ask 55.0¢

The market prices this at 55.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability55.0%

Bid / ask / mid54.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 54.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d-3.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 64/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,693

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12,254 / $26,339

Imbalance2% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score64.3 / 100

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.13

RSI (14, hourly)66.7

Realized vol 7d0.35pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 115d 21h.

Time to resolve115d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%