← Explore · Market 562802
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
83.5% implied · bid 83.0¢ · ask 84.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 84.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability84.0%
Bid / ask / mid83.0¢ / 84.0¢ / 83.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$16,049
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$150,701 / $116,001
Imbalance15% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.49
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 115d 21h.
Time to resolve115d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%