← Explore · Market 562802
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
88.5% implied · bid 88.0¢ · ask 89.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 88.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability88.0%
Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 89.0¢ / 88.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$24,322
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$203,938 / $2,078,833
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.18
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 69d 22h.
Time to resolve69d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%