← Explore · Market 562803
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$10,316
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$188,754 / $32,463
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.77
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.16pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 69d 22h.
Time to resolve69d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%