← Explore · Market 562803
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
15.5% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 16.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 16.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability16.0%
Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 15.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 70/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,995
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,395 / $35,201
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score70.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.55
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.20pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 115d 21h.
Time to resolve115d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%