← Explore · Market 562828
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
44.5% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 45.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 45.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability45.0%
Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 45.0¢ / 44.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 87/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$7,337
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$59,231 / $24,063
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score86.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.20
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.15pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 115d 21h.
Time to resolve115d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%