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← Explore · Market 562828

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

47.5% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 48.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 48.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability48.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 47.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 73/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,670
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$22,976 / $33,990
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score73.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.08
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 69d 22h.

Time to resolve69d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth