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← Explore · Market 562829

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

1.1% implied · bid 0.9¢ · ask 1.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.8%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability0.8%
Bid / ask / mid0.9¢ / 1.2¢ / 1.1¢
Spread0.3¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.10pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,795
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,101 / $4,045
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.98
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d0.07pt
Change 1h+0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 69d 22h.

Time to resolve69d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth