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← Explore · Market 562829

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

1.8% implied · bid 1.7¢ · ask 1.8¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.7%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.7%
Bid / ask / mid1.7¢ / 1.8¢ / 1.8¢
Spread0.1¢ (5.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$553
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,317 / $1,798
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score53.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.94
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.02pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 115d 21h.

Time to resolve115d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth