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← Explore · Market 562830

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

40.5% implied · bid 40.0¢ · ask 41.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 40.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability40.0%
Bid / ask / mid40.0¢ / 41.0¢ / 40.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 78/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,698
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$50,075 / $16,256
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score78.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.03
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 115d 21h.

Time to resolve115d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth