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← Explore · Market 562831

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

11.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 11.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 75/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$19,700
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$42,934 / $17,770
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score75.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-3.65
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 69d 22h.

Time to resolve69d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth