a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 562831

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

14.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 15.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 15.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,731
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,124 / $12,443
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score54.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.38
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.33pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 115d 21h.

Time to resolve115d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth