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← Explore · Market 563650

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

1.3% implied · bid 1.2¢ · ask 1.3¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.2%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.2%
Bid / ask / mid1.2¢ / 1.3¢ / 1.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,060
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$147 / $10
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score49.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.32
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth