← Explore · Market 565064

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

40.5% implied · bid 40.0¢ · ask 41.0¢

The market prices this at 41.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability41.0%

Bid / ask / mid40.0¢ / 41.0¢ / 40.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.5%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 68/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,556

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,682 / $30,357

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score67.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.46

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.11pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 850d 21h.

Time to resolve850d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%